NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- New home sales plummeted to a record low in May, the first month following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit. This snapped a two-month streak of gains.
New home sales declined 32.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 300,000 last month, down from an downwardly revised 446,000 in April, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. Sales year-over-year fell 18.3%.
This is the slowest sales pace since the Commerce Department began tracking data in 1963. The prior record was set in September 1981, when new homes sold at an annual rate of 338,000.
"We expected a slowdown, but the extent of this decline was a surprise," said Anika Khan, an economist at Wells Fargo. The figure was even worse than her relatively pessimistic forecast of an annual rate of 380,000 in May.
A consensus of economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected May sales to slide to an annual rate of 430,000.
"Clearly, the lack of a tax credit had a lot to do with it, and it's going to be a bit of a bumpy road ahead as we get a few more months of payback," Khan said.
Home sales had surged in March and April as homebuyers scrambled to sign contracts ahead of the April 30 deadline for the tax credit. First-time homebuyers qualified for a tax credit up to $8,000, while repeat buyers could get as much as a $6,500 break.
Homebuyers have until June 30 to close deals, but the Senate may vote to push that deadline back to Sept. 30.
Khan expects home sales to remain depressed through the third quarter as home construction continues to contract and lending standards remain tight. But, she said, sales should pick up slightly in the fourth quarter.
Although, she added, we are still years away from a normal level of new home sales -- an annual rate between 800,000 and 900,000.
"A full housing recovery is contingent on employment," Khan said. "When we see the unemployment rate abate, and some growth in salaries and incomes, we'll get some sustainable momentum in the housing market."
A real estate industry report released earlier this week showed that existing home sales, based closed sales rather than signed contracts, slipped slightly last month but remained elevated.
Showing posts with label home sale. Show all posts
Showing posts with label home sale. Show all posts
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Tuesday, June 22, 2010
May home sales dip as housing market struggles
WASHINGTON - The housing market may be on the verge of taking another plunge that could weaken the broader economic recovery.
Sales of previously occupied homes dipped in May, even though buyers could receive government tax credits. And nearly a third of sales in May were from foreclosures or other distressed properties. That means home prices could soon be heading down after stabilizing over the past year.
Last month's sales fell 2.2 percent from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.66 million, the National Association of Realtors said Tuesday. Analysts who had expected sales to rise expressed concern that the real estate market could tumble once the benefit of the federal tax incentives is gone entirely, starting next month.
The report is "a worrisome sign for what will occur in July and thereafter when the effect of the tax credit is behind us," said Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR Inc., an economic consulting firm in New York.
Sales have climbed 25 percent from the 4.5 million annual rate they hit in January 2009 — the lowest level of the recession. But they're still down 22 percent from the peak rate of 7.25 million in September 2005.
The report counts home sales once a deal closes. So federal tax credits of up to $8,000 for first-time buyers and up to $6,500 for existing homeowners helped prop up sales in May. The deadline to get a signed sales contract and qualify was April 30. Buyers must close their purchases by June 30.
The tax credits were expected to lift sales in May and June. Lawrence Yun, the Realtors chief economist, said delays in the mortgage-lending process put about 180,000 potential buyers in limbo. They are unlikely to qualify by the June 30 deadline. The trade group is pushing Congress to extend the deadline for closing a sale until Sept. 30.
Real estate agents report a decline in foot traffic, meaning sales could worsen in the coming months.
"The urgency just isn't there," said Pat Lashinksky, CEO of ZipRealty Inc., which has agents in 22 states.
Floyd Scott, broker-owner of Century 21 Arizona-Foothills in Phoenix, said his office had about 25 percent fewer signed contracts to buy homes in May than it did a month earlier.
"The tax credit stopped and boy, I'll tell you, it was like, 'Wait a minute. Is the phone still working?'" Scott said.
Another troubling sign is the number of foreclosures and short sales. Short sales occur when lenders let borrowers sell a home for less than they owe on their mortgage. Together, foreclosures and short sales made up 31 percent of sales in May. And those numbers could rise because the government's efforts to help troubled homeowners keep their homes have had only modest success.
More than a third of the 1.2 million borrowers who have enrolled in the Obama administration's $75 billion mortgage modification program have dropped out. About 340,000 homeowners, or 27 percent of those who started the program, have received permanent loan modifications and are making payments on time.
The decline in May home sales reflected a plunge of more than 18 percent in the Northeast. Sales were unchanged in the Midwest but rose nearly 5 percent in the West and 0.5 percent in the South.
The inventory of unsold homes on the market dropped 3.4 percent to 3.9 million. That's an 8.3 month supply at the current sales pace, compared with a healthy level of about six months. The median sales price in May was $179,600, up 2.7 percent from a year earlier.
First-time buyers made up 46 percent of sales.
The report "suggests that even government stimulus in the form of a tax credit isn't enough," to support the U.S. housing market, wrote Guy LeBas, an analyst with Janney Montgomery Scott.
___
AP Real Estate Writer Alex Veiga in Los Angeles contributed to this report.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Sales of previously occupied homes dipped in May, even though buyers could receive government tax credits. And nearly a third of sales in May were from foreclosures or other distressed properties. That means home prices could soon be heading down after stabilizing over the past year.
Last month's sales fell 2.2 percent from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.66 million, the National Association of Realtors said Tuesday. Analysts who had expected sales to rise expressed concern that the real estate market could tumble once the benefit of the federal tax incentives is gone entirely, starting next month.
The report is "a worrisome sign for what will occur in July and thereafter when the effect of the tax credit is behind us," said Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR Inc., an economic consulting firm in New York.
Sales have climbed 25 percent from the 4.5 million annual rate they hit in January 2009 — the lowest level of the recession. But they're still down 22 percent from the peak rate of 7.25 million in September 2005.
The report counts home sales once a deal closes. So federal tax credits of up to $8,000 for first-time buyers and up to $6,500 for existing homeowners helped prop up sales in May. The deadline to get a signed sales contract and qualify was April 30. Buyers must close their purchases by June 30.
The tax credits were expected to lift sales in May and June. Lawrence Yun, the Realtors chief economist, said delays in the mortgage-lending process put about 180,000 potential buyers in limbo. They are unlikely to qualify by the June 30 deadline. The trade group is pushing Congress to extend the deadline for closing a sale until Sept. 30.
Real estate agents report a decline in foot traffic, meaning sales could worsen in the coming months.
"The urgency just isn't there," said Pat Lashinksky, CEO of ZipRealty Inc., which has agents in 22 states.
Floyd Scott, broker-owner of Century 21 Arizona-Foothills in Phoenix, said his office had about 25 percent fewer signed contracts to buy homes in May than it did a month earlier.
"The tax credit stopped and boy, I'll tell you, it was like, 'Wait a minute. Is the phone still working?'" Scott said.
Another troubling sign is the number of foreclosures and short sales. Short sales occur when lenders let borrowers sell a home for less than they owe on their mortgage. Together, foreclosures and short sales made up 31 percent of sales in May. And those numbers could rise because the government's efforts to help troubled homeowners keep their homes have had only modest success.
More than a third of the 1.2 million borrowers who have enrolled in the Obama administration's $75 billion mortgage modification program have dropped out. About 340,000 homeowners, or 27 percent of those who started the program, have received permanent loan modifications and are making payments on time.
The decline in May home sales reflected a plunge of more than 18 percent in the Northeast. Sales were unchanged in the Midwest but rose nearly 5 percent in the West and 0.5 percent in the South.
The inventory of unsold homes on the market dropped 3.4 percent to 3.9 million. That's an 8.3 month supply at the current sales pace, compared with a healthy level of about six months. The median sales price in May was $179,600, up 2.7 percent from a year earlier.
First-time buyers made up 46 percent of sales.
The report "suggests that even government stimulus in the form of a tax credit isn't enough," to support the U.S. housing market, wrote Guy LeBas, an analyst with Janney Montgomery Scott.
___
AP Real Estate Writer Alex Veiga in Los Angeles contributed to this report.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Monday, June 21, 2010
California May Home Sales
An estimated 40,965 new and resale houses and condos were sold statewide last month. That was up 9.3 percent from 37,481 in April, and up 4.9 percent from 39,051 for May 2009. California sales for the month of May have varied from a low of 32,223 in 1995 to a peak of 67,958 in 2004, while the average is 47,024. MDA DataQuick's statistics go back to 1988.
The median price paid for a home last month was $278,000, up 9 percent from $255,000 in April and up 20.9 percent from $230,000 a year ago. The year-over-year increase was the seventh in a row, following 27 months of year-over-year declines. The median peaked at $484,000 in early 2007.
Of the existing homes sold last month, 35.5 percent were properties that had been foreclosed on during the past year. That was down from 38.1 percent in April and down from 50.2 percent a year ago. The last time foreclosure resales were as low as last month was in March 2008, when they also represented 35.5 percent of the resale market. The all-time high was in February 2009 at 58.8 percent.
The typical mortgage payment that home buyers committed themselves to paying last month was $1,179. That was up from $1,108 in April, and up from $972 a year ago. Adjusted for inflation, last month's mortgage payment was 45.4 percent below the spring 1989 peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was 54.5 percent below the current cycle's peak in June 2006.
MDA DataQuick is a division of MDA Lending Solutions, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates. MDA DataQuick monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts.
Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Foreclosure activity is off its peaks reached in the past couple of years but remains high in a historical context. Financing with multiple mortgages is low, down payment sizes are stable, cash and non-owner-occupied buying eased last month but remain above average, MDA DataQuick reported.
Media calls: Andrew LePage (916)456-7157 or alepage@dqnews.com
Copyright MDA DataQuick Information Systems. All rights reserved.
The median price paid for a home last month was $278,000, up 9 percent from $255,000 in April and up 20.9 percent from $230,000 a year ago. The year-over-year increase was the seventh in a row, following 27 months of year-over-year declines. The median peaked at $484,000 in early 2007.
Of the existing homes sold last month, 35.5 percent were properties that had been foreclosed on during the past year. That was down from 38.1 percent in April and down from 50.2 percent a year ago. The last time foreclosure resales were as low as last month was in March 2008, when they also represented 35.5 percent of the resale market. The all-time high was in February 2009 at 58.8 percent.
The typical mortgage payment that home buyers committed themselves to paying last month was $1,179. That was up from $1,108 in April, and up from $972 a year ago. Adjusted for inflation, last month's mortgage payment was 45.4 percent below the spring 1989 peak of the prior real estate cycle. It was 54.5 percent below the current cycle's peak in June 2006.
MDA DataQuick is a division of MDA Lending Solutions, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates. MDA DataQuick monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts.
Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Foreclosure activity is off its peaks reached in the past couple of years but remains high in a historical context. Financing with multiple mortgages is low, down payment sizes are stable, cash and non-owner-occupied buying eased last month but remain above average, MDA DataQuick reported.
Media calls: Andrew LePage (916)456-7157 or alepage@dqnews.com
Copyright MDA DataQuick Information Systems. All rights reserved.
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